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EU funding (€5,868,639): Climate Tipping Points: Uncertainty-aware quantification of Earth system tipping potential from observations and models and assessment of associated climatic, ecological, and … Hor6 Dec 2023 EU Research and Innovation programme "Horizon"

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Climate Tipping Points: Uncertainty-aware quantification of Earth system tipping potential from observations and models and assessment of associated climatic, ecological, and socioeconomic impacts

The likelihood of large-scale Earth system tipping events under ongoing anthropogenic forcing remains uncertain. In view of the possible irreversibility associated with such events and the potentially catastrophic global consequences on climate, ecosystems, and society, the precautionary principle demands thorough investigation of the underlying mechanisms, compound or cascading impacts, and associated risks. ClimTip will substantially advance the process understanding of possible Earth system Tipping Elements (TEs). It will provide the methodological framework for characterising and constraining potential TEs from paleoclimate, observational and model data, for identifying unknown tipping potential from observations and models, and for quantifying resilience and changes thereof in climate and ecosystems, including early-warning of forthcoming transitions. Earth system models (ESMs) are the primary tool for projecting the risk of large-scale tipping events and ClimTip will substantially improve their representation of suggested TEs. This will enable the identification of safe operating spaces for a stable Earth system by characterising key Earth system TEs in terms of their critical thresholds and rates, hysteresis and overshoot potential via empirical data and ESMs, taking into account the associated uncertainties. As a unique climate service, ClimTip will provide global high-resolution bias-corrected climate fields for large-scale tipping events based on storylines of tipping in comprehensive ESMs. The associated impacts on climate, ecosystems, biodiversity, agriculture, society and economy will be assessed globally and put in relation with the Paris Agreement and the EU Biodiversity Strategy 2030. ClimTip will deliver a comprehensive and precise knowledge basis for tipping-aware risk assessment and adaptation and mitigation strategies. Results will be disseminated to the scientific community, general public, and targeted audiences including IPBES and IPCC.


Funded Companies:

Company name Funding amount
Beijing Normal University ?
Agencia Estatal Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Cientificas €0.00
Alfred-Wegener-Institut Helmholtz-Zentrum FUR Polar-UND Meeresforschung €424,650
Bayerische Forschungsallianz Bavarian Research Alliance GmbH €276,133
Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique CNRS €222,030
Ecole Normale Superieure €241,250
Kobenhavns Universitet €214,244
Ludwig-Maximilians-Universitaet Muenchen €545,100
Potsdam-Institut FUR Klimafolgenforschung e. V. €981,450
Technische Universitaet Muenchen €1,617,189
Universidad Complutense de Madrid €286,901
Universita Degli Studi Di Firenze €215,700
Universiteit Utrecht €627,000
Uppsala Universitet €216,993

Source: https://cordis.europa.eu/project/id/101137601

The filing refers to a past date, and does not necessarily reflect the current state. The latest known state is available on the following page: Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing, China.