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EU funding (€3,155,772): Climate Advanced Forecasting of sub-seasonal Extremes Hor 13 Nov 2018 EU Research and Innovation programme "Horizon"
Overview
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Climate Advanced Forecasting of sub-seasonal Extremes
Climate extremes such as heat waves or tropical storms have huge social and economic impact. The forecasting of such extreme events at the sub-seasonal time scale (from 10 days to 3 months) is challenging. Since the atmosphere and the ocean are coupled systems of enormous complexity, in order to advance sub-seasonal predictability of extreme events, it is crucial to train a new kind of interdisciplinary top-level researchers. CAFE research is structured in three WP: Atmospheric and oceanic processes, Extreme events and Tools for predictability, and brings together an interdisciplinary team of scientists. Objectives: Study of the relation between RWPs and the large scale environment, and the resulting limit of predictability; Statistical characterization of MJO events, dependence on climatic factors, and simple modelling to evaluate predictability; Development of diagnosis tools for identification and tracking of the MJO, blocking, waves and oceanic structures; Analysis of climatic changes in weather patterns and their relation with new climatic phenomena and extreme events in Europe; Estimation of probabilities for severe damages due to extreme events associated to ENSO; Validation of the hypothesis of cascades of extreme events and effects of a non-stationary climate; Estimation of exceedance probabilities for intensity of severe atmospheric events, including windstorms and hurricanes; Assessment of the response of extreme weather events for different levels of stabilized global warming and comparison with their response to internal modes of climate variability; Development of a procedure to improve the predictability of the onset of monsoon; Advanced statistical analysis of dynamic associations between SSS and extreme precipitation events; Study of predictability of large-scale atmospheric flow patterns over the Mediterranean connected to extreme weather; Systematic quantification of the predictability potential of a SWG of analogues of atmospheric circulation.
Funded Companies:
| Company name | Funding amount |
| Commissariat a L Energie Atomique et aux Energies Alternatives | ? |
| Agencia Estatal Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Cientificas | €250,905 |
| Consorci Centre de Recerca Matematica | €501,810 |
| European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts | €606,345 |
| MAX-Planck-Gesellschaft ZUR Forderung DER Wissenschaften e. V. | €252,788 |
| Meteo-France | €274,802 |
| Potsdam-Institut FUR Klimafolgenforschung e. V. | €252,788 |
| Suez Aria Technologies | €274,802 |
| Technische Universitaet Bergakademie Freiberg | €252,788 |
| Universidad DE LA Republica | €237,838 |
| Universitat Politecnica de Catalunya | €250,905 |
Source: https://cordis.europa.eu/project/id/813844
The filing refers to a past date, and does not necessarily reflect the current state. The latest known state is available on the following page: Commissariat a l' Energie Atomique et aux Energies Alternatives, Paris, France.